Strongest attack profile
Inter Miami CF
1.52 index
Home 1.53 · Away 1.51 · Rating 1624
The highest eligible Poisson model attack profile. It is not observed xG or a guarantee of goals.
Team evidenceCurrent verified publication
Model Snapshot
A concise view of what Ascend’s model says about team strength and the latest five results. It is not reported news, an official league product, or a match forecast.
Snapshot data through · att-v1.0.0
Four current signals
The conclusions and the evidence
Every selection compares eligible teams from this one publication. A signal is omitted when its required model values or exactly five recent results are unavailable; missing data is never filled or borrowed from another source.
Strongest defense profile
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
0.73 index
Home 0.76 · Away 0.70 · Rating 1615
The lowest eligible Poisson model defense profile; lower is stronger. It is not observed xGA.
Team evidenceBest five-match return
Philadelphia Union
15 pts from five
W–W–W–W–W · GD +15 · Rating 1576
The most points earned across exactly five validated recent results.
Team evidenceLowest five-match return
CF Montréal
0 pts from five
L–L–L–L–L · GD -12 · Rating 1381
The fewest points earned across exactly five validated recent results.
Team evidenceHow to read this
Profile strength and recent return answer different questions
Attack and defense are Poisson model profiles. The geometric mean balances the published home and away split strengths. These values are not observed xG or xGA.
Five-match return is observed results. It counts three points for a win and one for a draw across exactly five validated recent matches. Rating takes a longer view.